The Rise of Private Investment in Fusion Energy Innovation
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In 1920, Arthur Eddington, a British astrophysicist, presented a lecture to the British Association for the Advancement of Science, discussing the internal workings of stars. He proposed that the sun's luminosity was a result of nuclear reactions, speculating that it was powered by the subatomic energy present in all matter. He remarked, “This reservoir can scarcely be other than the subatomic energy which, it is known, exists abundantly in all matter; we sometimes dream that man will one day learn how to release it and use it for his service. The store is well nigh inexhaustible, if only it could be tapped.”
Eddington theorized that energy was generated when hydrogen nuclei fused to create helium nuclei, noting that the mass difference could be transformed into energy as per the formula E=mc². His insights were accurate, and humanity's pursuit of harnessing this power began soon after his ideas gained traction. The allure of this abundant, carbon-free fuel continues to captivate scientists and entrepreneurs alike.
Historically, human-directed nuclear fusion has been dominated by government-funded projects, from the early Zeta reactor in England during the 1950s to the current Iter project in France, which has faced significant budget and timeline overruns. However, this landscape is shifting as private companies in North America and Europe begin to invest in fusion technology, each aiming to dispel the long-held belief that commercially viable fusion energy is perpetually 30 years away.
While fusion power on Earth is often likened to the sun's energy generation, this comparison is somewhat misleading. Solar fusion constructs helium nuclei by progressively fusing hydrogen nuclei—each reaction taking about a billion years.
Fortunately, a more efficient method exists: using hydrogen isotopes enriched with neutrons, specifically deuterium (one neutron) and tritium (two neutrons). Deuterium is relatively abundant, obtainable from water, while tritium is rarer and must be produced, though lithium—a plentiful resource—serves as its precursor.
The fusion reaction between deuterium and tritium occurs more readily than with regular protons, yielding helium and a free neutron. To create a functional fusion reactor, one must engineer a system that can maintain the necessary conditions of temperature, density, and time for the reaction to produce more energy than is consumed. The optimal balance of these parameters is known as the Lawson criterion, named after John Lawson, who was involved with the Zeta project.
Currently, most fusion efforts focus on tokamaks, toroidal devices invented in the 1950s by Soviet physicist Andrei Sakharov. Companies like Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) and Tokamak Energy are working along this path. CFS originated from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's plasma physics lab, while Tokamak Energy emerged from the UK's Atomic Energy Authority.
A standard tokamak resembles a hollow torus, similar to a doughnut, encased with superconducting magnets that heat and confine the plasma composed of deuterium and tritium. These magnets keep the plasma from contacting the walls, which would lead to immediate cooling.
Tokamaks are typically large; for instance, Iter's volume is about 830 cubic meters. In contrast, CFS's reactor will be significantly smaller, thanks to its more powerful magnets that compress the plasma more efficiently. These magnets can be cooled with inexpensive liquid nitrogen rather than the pricier liquid helium.
Tokamak Energy has also adopted nitrogen-cooled superconductors but has opted for a non-traditional design resembling a cored apple. This “spherical” configuration is theorized to maintain plasma stability better than conventional doughnut shapes. Tokamak Energy has constructed multiple prototypes, with its latest, ST40, achieving a plasma temperature of 15 million degrees Celsius, aiming for 100 million degrees Celsius in the near future—two-thirds of the way to achieving the Lawson criterion.
However, tokamaks are not the sole approach. In Vancouver, General Fusion is exploring a field-reversed configuration (FRC) system, where the magnetic confinement results from the movement of charged particles within the plasma, much like a vortex or smoke ring.
In General Fusion's reactor, this spinning plasma is rapidly compressed using hundreds of pistons that create shockwaves, significantly increasing the density and temperature of the deuterium-tritium fuel. The theory posits that enhancing these parameters could make the time factor less critical. CEO Christofer Mowry aims to validate this concept by constructing a test facility within five years.
Another company pursuing the FRC method is TAE Technologies from California. Their latest device, named Norman, features a cylindrical design where plasma injectors at each end propel FRCs toward each other at high speeds, creating a stable, hot plasma cloud through the fusion of deuterium and boron.
TAE's approach is particularly innovative as it replaces the conventional deuterium-tritium reaction with hydrogen and boron. This reaction results in the production of three helium nuclei rather than one helium and a neutron. The absence of neutrons could lead to a cleaner energy output, as traditional fusion processes often lead to radioactive byproducts due to neutron absorption.
Nonetheless, proton-boron fusion necessitates temperatures in the billions of degrees, far exceeding current experimental capabilities. Although such high temperatures have been achieved in other contexts, TAE's method remains uncertain.
First Light Fusion, a spinoff from Oxford University, presents another radical approach. While it aims to utilize deuterium and tritium, its reactor design draws inspiration from the unique hunting technique of pistol shrimp, known for creating powerful shockwaves through rapid claw movements.
First Light's reactor incorporates an aluminum or copper projectile that mimics the shrimp's claw, firing at high speeds to generate shockwaves and cavitation bubbles in a fuel-filled cavity. These bubbles are theorized to enable fusion under the right conditions, with results expected later this year.
The fusion landscape is filled with diverse ideas for practical reactor construction. However, potential investors must consider the timeline for these innovations. A critical milestone in fusion research is achieving "gain," where the energy output from a fusing plasma exceeds the energy input.
Various companies have set ambitious timelines for achieving gain. CFS and Tokamak Energy aim for 2025, while TAE's upcoming device, Copernicus, is expected to demonstrate gain and serve as a power-station prototype by 2030. First Light Fusion anticipates operational reactors in the 2030s.
While this optimism is encouraging, it should be tempered with caution, especially for companies seeking funding for future projects. Nonetheless, TAE has already secured $600 million in private investments, General Fusion over $100 million, Tokamak Energy £50 million (approximately $65 million), and First Light £25 million.
Challenges remain, as noted by Stephen Dean of Fusion Power Associates, who cautions that the history of fusion research reveals persistent obstacles. However, he also emphasizes that the current private-sector efforts are grounded in solid physics and led by capable individuals. The rewards for success are monumental, as a viable fusion energy source could ensure a sustainable and carbon-free electricity supply for the future.